Prognosis of conservatively treated patients with Pott's paraplegia: logistic regression analysis.

OBJECTIVE To evaluate the prognostic significance of various clinical, radiological, and neurophysiological findings in conservatively treated patients with Pott's paraplegia, using multiple regression analysis. METHODS The study included 43 patients with Pott's paraplegia, managed conservatively. The diagnosis of Pott's spine was based on clinical, magnetic resonance imaging, and computed tomography or ultrasound guided aspiration biopsy. All patients were examined clinically, and motor evoked potentials (MEPs) to lower limbs and tibial somatosensory evoked potentials (SEP) were recorded. Outcome at six months was defined as good or poor. For evaluating predictors of outcome, 15 clinical, investigative, and evoked potential variables were analysed, using multiple logistic regression analysis. RESULTS The age range of the patients was 16-70 years, and 22 were female. Mild spasticity with hyperreflexia only was seen in 13 patients. In the remaining, weakness was severe in eight, and moderate and mild in 11 patients each. Twenty patients had loss of joint position sensation. MEP and SEP were abnormal in 19 and 18 patients, respectively. On multiple regression analysis, the best model predicting six month outcome included power, paraplegia score, SEP, and MEP. CONCLUSION Patients with Pott's paraplegia are likely to recover completely by six months if they have mild weakness, lower paraplegia score and normal SEPs and MEPs.